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I predict that you won't get her back.
Hey man, I really don't think I will either but it's hard not to try. I know if I was reading this thread as an outsider, I'd think I'm a pussy too who should move on.
But I have come up with a plan. You guys might not agree and a lot of it might be "beta," but I'm going to give it a shot anyway.
During our relationship, I became friends with one of her guy roommates. I felt like I could trust him. Soon after the relationship ended, I texted him asking him to tell me if he heard anything from her. I told him not to tell my girl or anyone else that I contacted him, and that I trusted him. He responded saying he wouldn't tell anyone and would tell me if he heard anything. He didn't end up hearing anything, particularly because he went home for a week. But before I make any move now, I'm going to text him asking if she's seeing anyone else. If she is, fine. I'll at least have some insight.
If she isn't seeing anyone, I think I'm going to text her casually. If she is seeing someone else, or she isn't very responsive to my texts or attempt to meet up after texting her casually, I am going to say that I simply want to meet up as friends and/or talk on the phone about what went I did wrong in our relationship. I will explain that I want to learn what I did wrong and what mistakes I made so that I don't make them again, because I've started dating/seeing another girl. Some may think this is pathetic. I see it as finding some closure and somewhat getting the upper hand.
I know it's been 4 weeks and this talk would be terrible timing. But I need to get over this, find some closure, and move on. I'm the type of person that needs answers and closure. I wish we had had this talk earlier or I had pushed her for an explanation right off the bat. But I didn't and that's the way she goes...
Let me know what you think.