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Biased? You pretty much just told the dudes who have to pay for another mans child "sucks to be you? idk man"
No I said it was despicable. Lol, what you're doing is like when feminists throw out shit like "getting raped is very LIKELY....5% of women get raped", and if someone says that means there's a small chance of it, they say "YOU'RE CONDOING RAPE! You dont care about the victim!" No thats not it. See thats why I dont put much stock into feminists or mens rights guys, because both claim certain things are highly likely at very low percentages, and when you say thats a low %, they say you dont care. Thats silly. No, you can say "yeah its a low % and maybe I shouldnt have claimed it was very likely..." and still made the point. No need to make an emotional argument that I must not care because I pointed out your given % was low.
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I keep forgetting I am violating the unspoken amendment of "thou shall not criticize a woman" because somehow this makes me bitter, angry, misogynist, or biased in favor of men. I forgot men are also included in this amendment. Not just women. Thanks for reminding me Neo.
Again, I hope that someone reading this can see how feminist and mens rights arguments are the exact same. I never said or implied none of that, and my argument HAS NEVER BEEN DONT CRITICIZE WOMEN. I have to bold that because I wish you had kept it honest. NOWHERE have I said anything to imply you were bitter or anything of misogony. I didnt even question your numbers or sources. As the feminists do, you're using extreme language to make a discussion work.
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I didn't get 70% out of my ass.
Never thought you did. Nor implied that. I'm speaking on the statistics concept of
conditional probability and you take it to mean, because I'm being honest and using Math, that I dont care or labelling you as bitter.
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In probability theory, conditional probability is a measure of the probability of an event given that (by assumption, presumption, assertion or evidence) another event has occurred.[1] If the event of interest is A and the event B is known or assumed to have occurred, "the conditional probability of A given B", or "the probability of A under the condition B", is usually written as P(A|B), or sometimes PB(A). For example, the probability that any given person has a cough on any given day may be only 5%. But if we know or assume that the person has a cold, then they are much more likely to be coughing. The conditional probability of coughing given that you have a cold might be a much higher 75%.
So I'm pointing out the truth with your numbers. Not saying they were made up, but as if they were true. Let's say I have a 50% chance of meeting you Mr.A. Now, you're 70% likely to punch me in my face if I meet you. That does not mean that I have a 70% chance of getting punched by Mr.A. That means I have a 35% chance, because the first condition (us meeting) has to happen, and then the 70% chance of you punching comes into play. So the odds are 65% vs 35% that MR.A will not punch me. Thats not the same as 30% chance you will. Now thats just how probability works, has nothing to do with misogyny. You cant say MR.A is surely going to punch you because odds are in my favor we will not even meet, and then I still have the prob of him not punching me. I'm not arguing your sources, I'm not arguing the research in your sources. I'm applying your numbers correctly to the concept of probability. On a math exam, I couldnt answer that with your %s a man's odds arent in his favor. No idea why using math correctly makes me a misogynist labeller. But hey, when I asked HT a question a while back, I was a "woman hater" and now when I use math I'm a "misogynist labeller." I'm be damned if men and women are that much different when both go to emotional arguments automatically.
Just a note, dont go that route again with these issues. Someone doing the math with your numbers has nothing to do with saying you're bitter.
Now you can be honest and say that ok, its not likely that these scenarios will play out. But you still want insurance. Even if its less than 5% you will pay for another man's child, you can still get insurance. Or you can say even though these cases of father's paying for another man's kid is a very small minority of all cases, I dont want that so I'm against marriage. My thing was dont say it like the odds are with you. There's a difference between saying theres a 5% chance of rain, but I'll still take my umbrella...vs saying there's a 5% chance of rain, ODDS are its going to rain.
I'm just asking for the conversation to be sensible, without these emotional points make the cases. These child support/alimony and marriage arguments are so one dimensional. For eg, you say that its crazy if a man has to pay for a bastard. You cant fathom why the court does this.
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If it's their kid. Then they deserve to pay. If it isn't their kid, then why are the courts not so easy to let them off the hook. And what sucks is that even if they get off the hook they won't get reimbursed for the child support they paid leading up the the decision. The courts will still demand the guy pay up the child support even if they finalize that he doesn't have to pay in the future. They don't rewind time and give back the money the guy was paying while he was fighting the court to relieve him of paying child support for a child that isn't his.
What's forgotten is there is a CHILD. So many times, I see these child support arguments forget that. Now, its fair that if you paid for something that wasnt yours, you should be reimbursed. 100%. But are the courts going to tell a mom, ok, you owe this man $200k for the past 10 years youve lied to him and while she has custody of the kid she has to make monthly payments to him, while the kid is disadvantaged because mom is paying back $200k? See, its not fair, but you can see how the courts are in an extremely tough position and CANT be fair.
Child support is a complex issue, and issues like that dad paying for another man's child arent as simple as men vs women. I'll ask you, what is the court to do? Should the court order the mom to reimburse the dad while she takes care of this kid? Thats fair, but what abt the kid? The system is not perfect, far from it, but there are EXTREMELY DIFFICULT decisions here. Thats not me agreeing with system, its me realizing the difficulty with these situations and ensuring the kid is taken care of despite his mom's whoredom. There's a living breathing child in the middle of all this, and what is the court to do...reduce the income that comes to him because he's a bastard? If I had to pay, I'd be pissed, it would be unfair....but the court is putting the kids interest above my own. Its fucked up I may go to jail for not paying for a kid thats not mine, but what is the court supposed to do?
Tell me, what is the solution in cases like this? Because I see the stats and stories but never see anything on what the court should do, AND how it would impact the child. Thats not a challenge, a genuine question, because I'm stomped. Child support is a corrupt system, but what is the court to do? Its easy to say reimburse the dad, when the kid is impacted and thats never mentioned. Or just let the husband off the hook, no future payments? Well the kid now is less well off. The courts with all the corruption, do have a difficult job of giving laws for a wide variety of situations and interpreting them and weighing whats best for the kid, vs whats fair. When people turn these tough decisions into a "woman" thing, its a disservice to pretend that its that simple. Do the courts not reimburse the husband because they love women, or could at least part be that there is a child here and fuck everyone else? Can someone give a better way, because its easy to act like its a man vs woman thing and forget the WHOLE PICTURE.